40-Year Study Finds Mysterious Patterns in Temperatures on Jupiter

Weather patterns on Jupiter.
Based partly on data from generations of NASA missions, including NASA’s Voyager and Cassini, the work could help scientists determine how to predict weather on Jupiter. (Image: JPL-Caltech / SwRI / MSSS via NASA)

Scientists have completed the longest-ever study tracking temperatures in Jupiter’s upper troposphere, the layer of the atmosphere where the giant planet’s weather occurs and where its signature colorful striped clouds form.

The work, conducted over four decades by stitching together data from NASA spacecraft and ground-based telescope observations, found unexpected patterns in how temperatures of Jupiter’s belts and zones change over time. The study is a significant step toward a better understanding of what drives weather at our solar system’s largest planet and eventually being able to forecast it.

These infrared images of Jupiter with color added were obtained by the European Southern Observatory's Very Large Telescope in 2016 and contributed to the new study.
These infrared images of Jupiter with color added were obtained by the European Southern Observatory’s Very Large Telescope in 2016 and contributed to the new study. The colors represent temperatures and cloudiness: The darker areas are cold and cloudy, and the brighter areas are warmer and cloud-free. (Image: L.N. Fletcher via ESO)

Jupiter’s troposphere has a lot in common with Earth’s: It’s where clouds form and storms churn. As a result, scientists must study specific properties, including wind, pressure, humidity, and temperature, to understand this weather activity.

They have known since NASA’s Pioneer 10 and 11 missions in the 1970s that, in general, colder temperatures are associated with Jupiter’s lighter and whiter bands (known as zones). In comparison, the darker brown-red bands (known as belts) are locations of warmer temperatures.

But there weren’t enough data sets to understand how temperatures vary over the long term. So the new research, published in Nature Astronomy, breaks ground by studying images of the bright infrared glow (invisible to the human eye) that rises from warmer regions of the atmosphere, directly measuring Jupiter’s temperatures above the colorful clouds.

Jupiter’s temperature rise and fall are not associated with seasons

The scientists collected these images regularly over three of Jupiter’s orbits around the Sun, each lasting 12 Earth years. In the process, they found that Jupiter’s temperatures rise and fall following definite periods that aren’t tied to the seasons or any other cycles scientists know about.

Jupiter's moon Io rises just off the horizon of the gas giant planet in this image from NASA's Juno spacecraft.
Jupiter’s moon Io rises just off the horizon of the gas giant planet in this image from NASA’s Juno spacecraft. Slightly larger than Earth’s moon, Io is the most volcanically active world in the solar system. (Image: JPL-Caltech / SwRI / MSSS via NASA)

Because Jupiter has weak seasons — the planet is tilted on its axis only 3 degrees, compared to Earth’s jaunty 23.5 degrees — scientists didn’t expect to find temperatures on Jupiter varying in such regular cycles. The study also revealed a mysterious connection between temperature shifts in regions thousands of miles apart.

As temperatures went up at specific latitudes in the northern hemisphere, they went down at the same latitudes in the southern hemisphere — like a mirror image across the equator. Glenn Orton, the senior research scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory and lead author of the study, said:

“That was the most surprising of all. We found a connection between how the temperatures varied at very distant latitudes. It’s similar to a phenomenon we see on Earth, where weather and climate patterns in one region can have a noticeable influence on weather elsewhere, with the patterns of variability seemingly ‘teleconnected’ across vast distances through the atmosphere.”

The next challenge is to find out what causes these cyclical and seemingly synchronized changes. Co-author Leigh Fletcher of the University of Leicester in England said:

“We’ve solved one part of the puzzle now: the atmosphere shows these natural cycles. We need to explore both above and below the cloudy layers to understand what’s driving these patterns and why they occur on these particular timescales.”

One possible explanation became apparent at the equator: The study authors found that temperature variations higher up, in the stratosphere, seemed to rise and fall in a pattern that is the opposite of how temperatures behave in the troposphere, suggesting changes in the stratosphere influence changes in the troposphere and vice versa.

Decades of observations

Orton and his colleagues began the study in 1978. For the duration of their research, they would write proposals several times a year to win observation time on three large telescopes around the world: the Very Large Telescope in Chile, as well as NASA’s Infrared Telescope Facility, and the Subaru Telescope at the Maunakea Observatories in Hawaii.

During the first two decades of the study, Orton and his teammates took turns traveling to those observatories, gathering information on temperatures that would eventually allow them to connect the dots. (By the early 2000s, some telescope work could be done remotely.)

Then came the hard part — combining multiple years’ worth of observations from several telescopes and science instruments to search for patterns.

This composite of images from the JunoCam imager on NASA's Juno spacecraft shows eight circumpolar cyclones around a central cyclone at Jupiter's north pole.
This composite of images from the JunoCam imager on NASA’s Juno spacecraft shows eight circumpolar cyclones around a central cyclone at Jupiter’s north pole. The cyclones range in size from 1,500 miles (2,400 kilometers) to 1,740 miles (2,800 kilometers) across — about the same distance as from the southern tip of Texas to the border with Canada. The images were taken on February 17, April 10, June 2, and July 25, 2020. (Image: JPL-Caltech / SwRI / MSSS via NASA)

Joining these veteran scientists on their long-duration study were several undergraduate interns, none of whom had been born when the study began. They are students at Caltech in Pasadena, California; Cal Poly Pomona in Pomona, California; Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio; and Wellesley College in Wellesley, Massachusetts.

Scientists hope the study will help them eventually be able to predict weather on Jupiter now that they have a more detailed understanding of it. In addition, the research could contribute to climate modeling, with computer simulations of the temperature cycles and how they affect weather — not just for Jupiter, but for all giant planets across our solar system and beyond. Fletcher said:

“Measuring these temperature changes and periods over time is a step toward ultimately having a full-on Jupiter weather forecast if we can connect cause and effect in Jupiter’s atmosphere. And the even bigger-picture question is if we can someday extend this to other giant planets to see if similar patterns show up.”

Provided by Jet Propulsion Laboratory [Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.]

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  • Troy Oakes

    Troy was born and raised in Australia and has always wanted to know why and how things work, which led him to his love for science. He is a professional photographer and enjoys taking pictures of Australia's beautiful landscapes. He is also a professional storm chaser where he currently lives in Hervey Bay, Australia.

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